UCS Falcon vs Venator: same retirement date, two opposite value trajectories

Two ships, one announced retirement date. The Millennium Falcon and the Venator have almost nothing in common in terms of track record — nine years on shelves for one, three for the other — yet LEGO retires them the same day, in the same wave as the TIE Interceptor and Jabba's Sail Barge. This kind of calendar coincidence is rare and worth a close look: do both ships carry the same weight for a collector considering securing one before year-end?

The comparison, in numbers

The Falcon: nine years of status, not nine years of gains

The 75192 is the most iconic set in the Ultimate Collector Series range: 7,541 pieces, seven exclusive minifigs, and a reputation that reaches far beyond the LEGO community. It already survived a first retirement announcement pushed back since 2025 (see our dedicated article on that timeline). Over the last six months, its market value has nonetheless dropped by roughly 18.4% against its 849.99€ launch price, trading around ~694€. An iconic set isn't automatically a rising set — especially while it stays widely in stock, which limits scarcity pressure as long as retirement hasn't actually happened.

The Venator: three years in, already below launch price

The 75367, released in October 2023 at 649.99€, is an even clearer case: over the same six-month window, its estimated market value drops by roughly 24.5%, sitting around ~491€. With 5,374 pieces, two minifigs (Captain Rex phase 2 and Admiral Yularen) and a display stand with a commemorative plaque for Clone Wars' 20th anniversary, the Venator has all the hallmarks of a premium UCS — without the Falcon's nine years of track record to reassure a secondary buyer. Three years is short to build perceived scarcity, especially in a UCS Star Wars range that regularly releases new references.

Why both are in the red at the same time

Four large Star Wars UCS sets retire on the same day — Falcon, Venator, TIE Interceptor, Sail Barge. This is an often underestimated factor: a collector's perceived scarcity doesn't depend only on a set's retirement date, but on how many comparable sets become scarce at the same moment. When four big-ticket UCS sets close their doors together, buyer budgets spread across all four instead of concentrating on one — which mechanically dilutes buying pressure on each, as long as the actual sellout hasn't happened yet.

My take

I wouldn't buy either one today as a retirement-speculation play — both market curves clearly show the announcement alone triggered nothing. If I had to keep only one for its potential to recover value after actual retirement, I'd lean toward the Falcon: nine years of track record, a cultural status that reaches beyond the AFOL circle, and a known history of delays that has shown, in the past, its ability to stay sought-after. The Venator remains an excellent collector's set — but three years of age and a value already below launch price make it a more uncertain profile for anyone looking for value retention after retirement.

How I track this with Cault

If both sets are in my collection, I don't rely on my memory of the price paid to judge their respective trajectory: I open the Finances tab, compare each one's real purchase price to its refreshed market value, and let the automatic refresh flag whether the gap narrows or widens in the coming weeks. This is exactly the kind of comparison — two items, one shared retirement date, two trajectories — that manual spreadsheet tracking struggles to surface, while the dashboard makes it visible at a glance.

The takeaway

A shared retirement date doesn't mean shared potential. The Falcon and the Venator prove it: both trade below their launch price just months before their official catalog exit, held back by remaining stock and by the concentration of four UCS sets retiring the same day. The signal to watch by the end of December 2026: which of the two sees its stock availability tighten first.